The prediction markets seem to have a strong opinion about who — or at least which party — will win the 2028 presidential election. As of this week, prediction market Kalshi gives the Democratic party ...

You could argue, and I am arguing, that the current prediction market chaos starts with one man: President Donald Trump. And now he’s sounding like he’s not a big prediction market guy at all. “The ...

See more of our trusted coverage when you search. Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. Prediction markets are increasingly viewed as a real-time gauge of ...

Donald Trump out as president odds show Kalshi traders pricing a real early-exit risk before 2029, with impeachment markets, midterm pressure, and headline volatility driving one of politics’ most ...

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is one of the main names being thrown around for a possible Democratic nominee in the next presidential race. And in an interview this past weekend, she said her ambition ...

The bill adds to a wave of recent legislative and state-level actions targeting prediction markets as scrutiny over sports betting, war contracts and alleged insider trading builds. US lawmakers have ...

Prediction markets have transformed major world events into something closer to live entertainment. Major sporting events draw intense action. Elections now trade like championship games. Federal ...