Tropical Storm Jerry douses Caribbean
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Karen is rare bird, having formed farther north and east than any other named storm (tropical or subtropical storm or hurricane) on record. The subtropical storm won’t make it very far, as icy cold waters dipping into the 50s (Fahrenheit) will quickly empty the tank needed to keep its sputtering subtropical engine running.
One week after Imelda, Jerry and Karen are churning in the Atlantic Basin. Jerry is making its closest pass to the northern Leeward Islands.
Subtropical Storm Karen suddenly formed overnight in the northern Atlantic Ocean, becoming the 11th named storm of the 2025 hurricane season. It is forecast to continue northeast in hostile weather Friday morning. As a subtropical storm, Karen has characteristics of both tropical and extratropical cyclones.
A robust tropical wave – a ripple in east-to-west flowing trade winds at about 10,000 feet resembling an ocean wave – plodding through the central Atlantic this week is poised to develop into a tropical depression or named storm.
The Leeward Islands, including the U.S. Virgin Islands, should monitor the progress of a weather system moving across the Atlantic, as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given the disturbance — designated Invest 95L — an 80 percent chance of development within 48 hours and a 90 percent chance within seven days.