One week after Imelda, Jerry and Karen are churning in the Atlantic Basin. Jerry is making its closest pass to the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical Storm Raymond was announced midday Thursday by the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami, making it the third system now off the western coast of Mexico.

La Nina, the cooler and at times costlier flip side of El Nino, has arrived to warp weather worldwide, meteorologists said Thursday. This natural weather phenomenon often turbocharges the Atlantic hurricane season,

Subtropical Storm Karen formed Thursday in the Atlantic, becoming the 11th named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) says Tropical Storm Jerry continues to spin across the Atlantic and remains on track to strengthen into a hurricane in the coming days.

Jerry is soaking the Leeward Islands while Karen developed in the far northern Atlantic Thursday night. Here's the latest forecast.

A tropical storm warning associated with Raymond was issued from Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico. Tropical Storm Priscilla was centered about 170 miles (275 kilometers) west of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico, and moving north-northwest at 8 mph (13 kph) with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph (85 kph).

The team of meteorologists responsible for the Atlantic hurricane season forecast for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) offered their latest update back in August; their prediction for the likelihood of an above-average season is 50%.

Meanwhile in the Atlantic Ocean, Tropical Storm Jerry formed Tuesday with maximum sustained winds rising to 50 mph by the afternoon.

Two Atlantic storms performed the rare Fujiwhara effect, with Hurricane Humberto pulling Hurricane Imelda off its original track.

From Mitch and Sandy to Wilma and Hazel, deadly and destructive October hurricanes have left their mark over the decades.

Michael Lowry, a Miami-based hurricane specialist, said La Niña tends to bring its greatest impacts to the western half of the Atlantic, including the Gulf and Caribbean Sea. He said those regions are already seeing the lessened wind shear and other conditions characteristic of La Niña.